Sunday, April 20, 2008

Darvish Watch 08: Episode 5

To date, this season has been a remarkable collection of dominant innings for Yu Darvish, as he has only been scored upon in 1 of 34 innings pitched. His ERA entering the game against SoftBank was a phenomenal 0.53 and hitters just can't touch him at all. Still, SoftBank was the club that gave him some trouble a couple of weeks earlier and a bad first inning would be deadly. Hawks' leadoff man and shortstop Munenori Kawasaki was hit by a pitch to start the game against Darvish the last go around. What would he do in this contest?

Munenori Kawasaki (SS) Line drive base hit to left
Tadaashi Nakasawa (2B) Strikes out looking
Hiroshi Tsubahara (RF) Bloop single to left (throwing error on LF, run scores)
Nobuhiko Matsunaka (LF) Strikes out swinging
Hiroki Kokubo (DH) Ground out to pitcher

So, another shaky start for Darvish. There seems to be some reason to continue worrying about the trend that has become his trademark. Nothing earth-shattering occurred here, but the inability to work clean 1st innings on a regular basis is the Achilles heel for an otherwise unhittable man. In this case, an error cost Darvish an unearned run, but there were two hits scratched across by the Hawks and the hope for a sub-1.00 ERA will depend on getting the lone chink in his armor worked out.

The good news is that Darvish only allowed one more baserunner in working the complete game shutout. The eighth and ninth innings saw our ace retire 5 of the last 6 batters by strikeout and slam the door on the Hawks for good. All told, Darvish threw 103 pitches over 9, allowing three hits and no walks, striking out 10. His ERA now stands at a miniscule 0.42 and he has pitched 42 of 43 innings with no score. Uncanny.

4 comments:

westbaystars said...

I originally posted this over at East Windup Chronicle a couple of weeks ago, just after Darvish's fourth start. This was in reference to the Best Game Sabrmetric stats:
+-------------+------------+----------+----+
| player_name | stat_date | opponent | bg |
+-------------+------------+----------+----+
| Ohba | 2008-04-05 | LOT | 95 |
| Iwakuma | 2008-03-27 | ORX | 90 |
| Tanaka | 2008-04-12 | ORX | 88 |
| Darvish | 2008-03-20 | LOT | 88 |
| Ohtonari | 2008-03-25 | LOT | 88 |
| Ohtonari | 2008-04-02 | NIP | 87 |
| Naruse | 2008-04-12 | NIP | 87 |
| Nagai | 2008-03-26 | ORX | 87 |
| Darvish | 2008-04-10 | RAK | 86 |
| Darvish | 2008-03-27 | SEI | 82 |
| Lewis | 2008-04-09 | YAK | 82 |
| Shimizu | 2008-04-09 | SEI | 82 |
| Yoshimi | 2008-04-06 | YAK | 82 |
+-------------+------------+----------+----+

(Please forgive the layout - PRE and TT tags aren't allowed here.)

At the time (end of play on April 12), the above are the top 10 Best Games for pitchers. While others may have ranked above Darvish, he's the only one consistently there.

Mike Plugh said...

Interesting. I need to look into this more closely. By the way, what do you think of Darvish's chances at a sub-1.00 ERA this season. That's my little game. ;)

westbaystars said...

I'm amazed that after 4-5 games that there are three pitchers with a sub 1.00 ERA:

Chunichi's Kazuki Yoshimi: 4 G, 3 CG, 2 SO, 15 K, 6 BB, 26 IP, 1 ER, 0.35 ERA

Nippon Ham's Yu Darvish: 5 G, 3 CG, 2 SO, 42 K, 5 BB, 43 IP, 2 ER, 0.42 ERA

Rakuten's Hisashi Iwakuma: 5 G, 2 CG, 1 SO, 30 K, 5 BB, 39 IP, 2 ER, 0.46 ERA

(Going into play on April 22.)

There are 8 more pitchers with ERAs under 2.00 (and Satoshi Komatsu (ORX) exactly at 2.00). That makes for a lot of low scoring games. The fact that so many pitchers this year have such low ERAs leads me to think that it's definitely plausible for one of them to end under 1.00.

But it's still early yet. I remember Iwakuma starting out with something like 10 wins in a row a few years back, then struggling to get his 11th for the rest of the season.

Dan Evensen said...

Just found your website. Looks good! You've converted me -- I'm now a Darvish fan.